I’m not sur for my bet.
March seems too early, but then again…
I’ll go for 30. March.
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15 March 2023, 18:01 UTC
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So, we have 17 predictions at the moment.
Average (Mean) = 17 March 2023 Fri 21:32
Median = 15 March 2023 Wed 12:34
Mode = 14 March 2023 Tue 12:20
If we assume that the Moment of Truth is equal to the Median of all predictions, then the angular deviations of the current predictions will be:
| Participant of Countdown | Average Angular Deviation Theta, (°) |
|---|---|
| @Florallle | 0,00 |
| @greenskull | 0,19 |
| @fiwipa | 0,61 |
| @Herbstsommerwind | 1,73 |
| @reiselustig | 1,84 |
| @nnniiina | 2,62 |
| @Shalottslady | 4,07 |
| @Stevyy | 4,80 |
| @GrauBunt | 5,25 |
| @thibcabe | 6,17 |
| @Captain-Colin | 6,66 |
| @HM | 7,21 |
| @tesc | 10,18 |
| @Jarana | 12,46 |
| @manuchka | 15,14 |
| @danay4 | 19,04 |
| @ChocCrossie | 48,52 |
The closest one to the Average (Mean) is @reiselustig’s prediction.
The Median of all predictions coincides with @Florallle’s prediction.
The closest one to the Mode is @fiwipa’s prediction.
I recommend that the participants at the tail of the list keep their finger on the pulse and, possibly, correct their predictions in the future, since they are more distant than the rest from the median point (collective unconscious) on the time scale.
But it’s always up to you 
PS
I would add that an angular deviation of 1° is like an arrow missing the bullseye of the target by about 1.75 meters, if you shoot from a distance of 100 m.
And the angular deviation of 5° is an arrow missing the bullseye of the target by about 8.75 m when shooting from the same 100 m.
PPS
By the way, March 14th is Albert Einstein’s birthday.
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Oh, I see. Doesn’t look like I’m the best in this guessing 
But then I take a second shoot: It will be on April 1st, at 1.17 pm. 
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I’m going for 13 March at 18:49 UTC
(My maths is very simple, but I wasn’t weeks out last time so hoping for a long range hit this time)
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Nice shot But still far from the epicenter of bets.
Just as an idea. Why wouldn’t you try to bet on:
Average (Mean) = 17 March 2023 Fri 21:32
or
Median = 15 March 2023 Wed 12:34
or
Mode = 14 March 2023 Tue 12:20
?
This does not give a 100% hit guarantee, but it can significantly increase the chances of hitting close to the bullseye of the target.
Just check the Average (Mean), Median and Mode of the previous Countdown 70 mio and compare them with the fact of Moment of Truth (January 04, 23:37).
In no way am I imposing anything, I’m just curious 
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Just because many place their bets on a certain horse, it still does not mean that this one will win the race… I stick with my first guess. Need to practice my intuition (and confirm my maths).
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Ok Let’s see.
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I’m going for 16 March at 13:45 UTC
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With @ChocCrossie’s adjustments and two new bets (@xxxxyyyyzzzz and @_zahra_), our collective unconscious gives us the following averages:
Average (Mean) = 14/03/23 Tue 09:53
Meadian = 15/03/23 Wed 12:34
Mode = 14/03/23 Tue 14:28
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Sorry for offtopic.
I thought that, in fact, Voyager, which launched 45 years ago and carried into deep space a record of greetings in all languages of the Earth, is a postcard for brothers in mind. This is a kind of Postcrossing but on a cosmic scale.
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I would say it will be 15th March 18:00 UTC
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We’re already more than a quarter of the way through! That’s happened remarkably quickly. There seems to have been none of the predicted slowdown.
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I’m going to have to revise my forecast to 17th March 19.30 hrs
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Two hours later than me - so will both keep our fingers crossed for that date 
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Taking into account the updates of predictions:
Average (Mean) = 13.03.23 Mon 23:25
Median = 15.03.23 Wed 15:17
Mode = 14.03.23 Tue 10:48
But… something tells me that the cherished event will happen a few days earlier.
For now, I will not correct my prediction, I will observe further.
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Certainly if we carry on sending and registering at this rate, it will be earlier.
I was interested to read in the annual stats blog post that, last year, the day with the most number of registrations was 12th January. I wonder if it was around about the same time this year.
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My current maths says 11th March. But I’m not planning on correcting my prediction either, at the moment.
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My guess is March 13th at 22:32
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March 14 at 14h
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