Countdown To 71 Million Registered Postcards

This is where we can make our guesses as to when we think the 71 millionth postcard will be registered on Postcrossing. Please make your prediction in UTC format. Anyone is welcome to change their guesses as often as they want to.

13 Likes

My guess is:

17.3. at 17:30 :grinning:

3 Likes

I would say we’ll touch the mark on June, 1st, 8 am. :yum:

3 Likes

My stab this time 27.3 21:00

3 Likes

6 March 2023, 19:47

What a good fun the guesinggame 70M was!

3 Likes

My guess is 7th March at 12.00 noon.

3 Likes

21st of March, 2023 - Equinox
07:10 UTC

a card from MA to rCH

3 Likes

18 March at 16.07. :love_letter:

3 Likes

I‘d say: 24 February at 22:34 UTC.

2 Likes

I will go for my birthday, March 10 at 15:17

3 Likes

I’m going to go for 9th March, 12.34 UTC.

EDIT (the next day, and thinking about it overnight :slightly_smiling_face:)

I think I’ve gone much too early, so I’m changing it to 15 March, 12.34 UTC.

2 Likes

My guess:
17 March 2023 14:12 UTC

3 Likes

My guess is 19th of February at 9:00 pm!!

2 Likes

My guess:
9 March 2023, 5:55 UTC

3 Likes

March 14, 7pm

3 Likes

8th March, 04:40 UTC

A card from IT to US ?

3 Likes

@paulo’s birthday is March 6th… it would be neat if the stars aligned for him! :star_struck:

10 Likes

I’m not sur for my bet.

March seems too early, but then again…

I’ll go for 30. March.

3 Likes

15 March 2023, 18:01 UTC

2 Likes

So, we have 17 predictions at the moment.
Average (Mean) = 17 March 2023 Fri 21:32
Median = 15 March 2023 Wed 12:34
Mode = 14 March 2023 Tue 12:20

If we assume that the Moment of Truth is equal to the Median of all predictions, then the angular deviations of the current predictions will be:

Participant of Countdown Average Angular Deviation Theta, (°)
@Florallle 0,00
@greenskull 0,19
@fiwipa 0,61
@Herbstsommerwind 1,73
@reiselustig 1,84
@nnniiina 2,62
@Shalottslady 4,07
@Stevyy 4,80
@GrauBunt 5,25
@thibcabe 6,17
@Captain-Colin 6,66
@HM 7,21
@tesc 10,18
@Jarana 12,46
@manuchka 15,14
@danay4 19,04
@ChocCrossie 48,52

The closest one to the Average (Mean) is @reiselustig’s prediction.
The Median of all predictions coincides with @Florallle’s prediction.
The closest one to the Mode is @fiwipa’s prediction.

I recommend that the participants at the tail of the list keep their finger on the pulse and, possibly, correct their predictions in the future, since they are more distant than the rest from the median point (collective unconscious) on the time scale.
But it’s always up to you :slight_smile:

PS
I would add that an angular deviation of 1° is like an arrow missing the bullseye of the target by about 1.75 meters, if you shoot from a distance of 100 m.
And the angular deviation of 5° is an arrow missing the bullseye of the target by about 8.75 m when shooting from the same 100 m.

PPS
By the way, March 14th is Albert Einstein’s birthday.

9 Likes