🎯 Countdown to 70 million registered cards

Here we keep records of the way traveled to the level of 70 million postcards registered.
And we make predictions about the moment when we cross this level.
Anyone can make as many predictions as they want at any time.

On the Postcrossing home page, we can find out how many postcards are registered in the game at the moment:

And here we can see monthly statistics on registered postcards.
These data will help to calculate or guess the moment of passing the level of 70 million.

Please let’s make our predictions of date and time in UTC format.

Well, based on the results of this countdown, we will see whose predictions were the most accurate, taking into account the distance from which they were made.

Let’s go!

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984,843 to go!

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Let’s assume it happens on January 07, 2023 at 16:30 (UTC).

Well, I think it might happen on January 06, 2023, at 06:06 (UTC). :grinning:

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I came up with January 3, 2023 at 18:23 (UTC). I was going to add a couple days based on…nothing really but I’ll go where I landed.

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My guess: 5.1. 15:30 UTC

From DE to USA

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I also think 6th January, 13:06 UTC

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My guess is 5th January UTC 19.10.
It’s my sister’s and my nephew’s birthday. :smiling_face_with_three_hearts:

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I observed the countdown to 69 million thread and was fascinated by the math behind everyone’s predictions. I am not as math minded as some of you, but I’d love to try guessing for the first time. :smile:

I like to think people will be in a generous postcard sending mood for the holidays, so my prediction will be January 1st at 16:00 UTC

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There’s no maths behind mine, believe me! :laughing:

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I think it will be 2. Januar, 17:23 UTC

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My guess is 10th January 2023, UTC 20.44h

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I have noticed that you are making very good bets in recent countdowns.
Every time I think what tool you are using :slight_smile:

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No no no no no… the 70 million will be hit well before 2023 starts. Don’t forget Christmas and New Year are coming. And don’t forget that the Germans make an extra effort to send many cards during December for the charity hosted by the German Mail - and their mail is fast. So my guess would be

December 24 at 18:40 UTC.

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Can you tell me more about this charity effort?

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I had wondered about before the new year too. But a lot of people outside Germany slow down or even stop Postcrossing altogether because of the Christmas post. I don’t know if they cancel each other out. We shall find out…

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Indeed, we will see, but I cannot see any slowing down in the statistics. Anyway, I am sure that we will see 70 million this year.

@toadallycool have a look, please:

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There will be lots of postcards in December in Germany so I think it will be on December 29th 2022, 5pm

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It’s nice to see such activity of countdown participants :slight_smile:
We already have 11 predictions:
24.12.22 18:40
29.12.22 17:00
01.01.23 16:00
02.01.23 17:23
03.01.23 18:23
05.01.23 15:30
05.01.23 19:10
06.01.23 06:06
06.01.23 13:06
07.01.23 16:30
10.01.23 20:44

Mean (Average) = 03.01.23 22:46
Median = 05.01.23 15:30
Mode = 04.01.23 13:19

But my experience is that the collective unconscious can be quite easily misled. Therefore, it is better not to focus on all these average indicators.

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In the first 24 hours there were 24,233 registered. That just amazes me.
For my next trick…remember to look at the one week mark.

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