Countdown to 60 million postcards received

603,970 to go, wow!

Almost halfway
545 146 cards to go :slight_smile:

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Halfway-Milestone has passed.

498 052 cards to go. :slight_smile:

Yes, halfway there. We can start to get used to the possibility, getting real card by card. Even with Western Christmas Slowdown (WCS) showing its (ugly) power (next to the other ugly parc).

497,520 to go

22.01.2021 (why not)
20:21 UTC

a card from BA to BY

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I have absolutely no idea :smile:

How about February 17th 2021, 22:43 UTC?

And the card will be sent from Germany to Belarus.

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Stefan left his previous prediction the same.
I keep my previous prediction also valid:
January 26, 2021, 12:00 UTC.

Probably the Moment of Truth will be somewhere between our forecasts.
The only question is, to whose prediction this moment will be closer :slight_smile:
I guess that we will pass the level 59 750 000 on January 09, 2021. Let’s see.

Based on the results of the Moment of Truth, I will calculate the Diviner Talent Rate for each participant in this marathon using this formula.

Note:
When the diviner retains their previous prediction in force, such predicted moments are not counted.
If the time is not named, but only the date, then UTC midday of this date should be understood.
And then I’ll post the results here.

Is this thread for you or the entire website?

It’s of course for all users who want to ‘participate’ in the countdown, either just reading, by posting ‘only’ the missing cards to go, by adding an individual guess or by offering even a reward.

425,872 to go

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So, at the moment we have 7 hypotheses made in different time about the Moment of Truth, expressed in terms of date and UTC time.
These diviners are as follows (guessing):
@Stevyy (22.01.21 Fri 20:21)
@greenskull (26.01.21 Tue 12:00)
@HoosierWyomingite (14.02.21 Sun 14:14)
@thibcabe (14.01.21 Thu 05:50)
@Sleep (19.02.21 Пт 13:00)
@Mattie07 (20.02.21 Sat 12:00)
@lauranalanthalasa (17.02.21 Wed 22:43)

Two of us confirmed their previous predictions a second time later – Stefan (Stevyy) and me (greenskull).

Nobody knows exactly when we’ll cross the 60 million level, as this is a random process influenced by many unpredictable factors. We can only guess with varying accuracy.
But any participant can put here their guessing, relying on any available tools – experience, mathematical skills, intuition or even a Magic Crystal Ball.
And any participant can refine their previous guessing at any time they want – by writing a new comment here with a new prediction.

All data that is available can be viewed here at the moment:

Or here in past:

So, ~425 000 postcards left to go.


I congratulate all Postcrossers on the coming Merry Christmas and I wish everyone to be healthy, successful and happy in the coming new 2021 year.
And I also wish all of us peace, love and prosperity! :slight_smile:

2 Likes

New Year’s gnomes whispered to me that the Cherished moment (60 mio) will come a little earlier, namely on January 25 at 10:30 (UTC).

345 268 :postcard: to go!

My guess 21 January, becsuse that’s my name day, and why not?

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I‘ll go for January 24 at 17:24 UTC.

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If we say in terms of UTC it is January 24, 16:24 UTC, CET=UTC+1

Ok :slight_smile:

314 122 :postcard: to go :wink:

Here’s the traditional guessing game for the big millions!

Come place your bets for the milestone, and you could win some nice packs of postcards! :relaxed:

5 Likes

Wow! It is so nice! :slight_smile:

The postcrosser whose bet is the closest to the exact minute
when postcard number 60 million is registered will win a box set of 100 postcards,
and the 6 next best guesses (before or after the registering time)
will receive a pack of 20–30 postcards each.

And these are incredibly generous prizes!

2 Likes

Let’s make the same guess I did on the contest.

25.01.2021
20:21 UTC
DE to GB

Good luck !

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253 015 to go!

I’m going 8th Feb 2021 at 19.30pm Grenwich meantime. This is fun :grinning_face_with_smiling_eyes:

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Grenwich meantime = UTC in winter. Ok.