I think there will be a slowdown, but I guess it will start in November.
My guess is Nov. 1 at 16:24 UTC DE to US (or vice versa) and I hope to achieve the 3rd Magic Mandala.
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I’m thinking early as well, so 23 October at 10.23.
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Nice start! We have got already 7 predictions!
If we assume that the Moment of Truth is exactly the middle between Stefan’s initial prediction and mine, then the list of divinations looks like this 
But of course, I don’t know for certain the moment of reaching the 64 million milestone. Time will tell
Therefore, the picture will change. And in particular, it will change with the next predictions of the participants.
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I quess it will happen on October 26 at 11:26 pm. And it will be a postcard from US to DE 
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Stefan (@Stevyy ), do you know what caused such a powerful and dynamic rise in activity from the end of July (starting from July 25) to this day?
It looks anomalous for this time of the year and introduces an error in the calculations.
Alternatively, it can be seen as a recovery of normal activity after the recession from July 01 to July 25.
And it looks like your optimism is following this scenario.
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My forecast for next months:
| Per month | Total | |
|---|---|---|
| August | 425 880 | 63 190 654 |
| September | 387 317 | 63 577 971 |
| October | 385 083 | 63 963 054 |
| November | 389 379 | 64 352 433 |
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874.316 to go.
My guess 15. October, 15:10 UTC
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More than a quarter of the way from 63 to 64 million.
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A third of the way is already behind us.
What we have at the moment:
Or it’s the same if we take a closer look.
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The number of postcards being sent across the site has gone right down. I’m wondering if people have started to save slots for World Postcard Day. I have. I want five slots on the day. I already have the first two.
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Halfway done!
I started saving up slots for World Postcard Day several weeks ago, and I am very happy I did because hardly any of my send postcards have been registered lately.
I will correct my prediction.
Let’s say that the Moment of Truth occurs on October 29, 2021 at 00:08 (UTC).
It is ~5.7 days ahead of my initial prediction.
By the way - what happens if somebodys suggestion is right? Is it just for fun?
I usually send a very special postcard with Greenskull’s Magic Mandala to the one who gets the highest score.
The calculation method is described here.
Magic Mandala can fulfill one cherished wish.
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Wow - I am impressed, your are truly much into maths and statistics
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Just a little
2/3 of the way is already behind us.
Stefan (@Stevyy ), are you still with us? There has been no news from you for a long time
234 431 cards to go
Will it happen this week?
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Time flies - job training, wedding, vacation, return’s to-dos - and so are the cards - WPD, World Post Day, Northern autumn … it’s esp. hard to take the WPD-dynamic into account
233,203 to go
26.10.2021 (AT’s national holiday)
10:26 UTC
a card from CA to RE
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