If nobody wants to start the next 64 mio countdown thread, then with your permission, I’ll start it.
For beginners, I will explain that in some time the total number of postcards registered (=received) will reach 64 million. In the thread of this countdown, we need to make predictions about the time when it will happen and time to time to refine these predictions.
With such a pessimistic guess you should rename to blues-skull (not that world headlines don’t produce plenty of reasons to feel a bit down)
I go in the opposite direction: end of northern summer = more time at home + postcard day + world post day → a slight increase in cards sent; only question: how long will world-postcard-day-cards travel?
I guess, most of us start to save slots in November, because 25% of our cards to be sent will go to Germany anyway… and most of the time we also want to send many postcards for world postcard day And… we are also "hunting " the 11 Mio postcard sent from Germany - so quite a few reasons to be optimistic…
I guess 21.10.21 because it is a nice date and the time will be of course 21:21 UTC
Nice start! We have got already 7 predictions!
If we assume that the Moment of Truth is exactly the middle between Stefan’s initial prediction and mine, then the list of divinations looks like this
But of course, I don’t know for certain the moment of reaching the 64 million milestone. Time will tell
Therefore, the picture will change. And in particular, it will change with the next predictions of the participants.
Stefan (@Stevyy ), do you know what caused such a powerful and dynamic rise in activity from the end of July (starting from July 25) to this day?
It looks anomalous for this time of the year and introduces an error in the calculations.
Alternatively, it can be seen as a recovery of normal activity after the recession from July 01 to July 25.
And it looks like your optimism is following this scenario.
The number of postcards being sent across the site has gone right down. I’m wondering if people have started to save slots for World Postcard Day. I have. I want five slots on the day. I already have the first two.
I started saving up slots for World Postcard Day several weeks ago, and I am very happy I did because hardly any of my send postcards have been registered lately.
I will correct my prediction.
Let’s say that the Moment of Truth occurs on October 29, 2021 at 00:08 (UTC).
It is ~5.7 days ahead of my initial prediction.
(not that world headlines don’t produce plenty of reasons to feel a bit down)
And… we are also "hunting " the 11 Mio postcard sent from Germany - so quite a few reasons to be optimistic…
