399!
275
184
100
32 to go! (caught it just in time!)
12:33
And here is the lucky postcard, registered at 12:32:48 UTC today:
By the way, the recipient of this postcard, Lyudmila, has repeatedly participated in our countdowns.
So she has! How fantastic.
Let me remind you that we evaluate each prediction as the ratio of the error (between the fact and the prediction) to the distance from which the prediction was made. And we choose the best (smallest) value of all for each participant.
That is, it is good to make an accurate shot, but it is even better to make it from a longer distance.
I evaluate this ratio as an angular deviation, in degrees.
Thus we get the next The Most Talented Diviner Rate:
Participant of Countdown | Smallest Angular Deviation Theta, (°) |
---|---|
@jabuka | 0,09 |
@fiwipa | 0,23 |
@greenskull | 0,30 |
@xxxxyyyyzzzz | 0,64 |
@Silpa | 0,78 |
@Florallle | 0,85 |
@VanCity95 | 1,17 |
@Hobbyhistoriker | 1,70 |
@kissthebeehive | 1,71 |
@_zahra_ | 1,81 |
@Herbstsommerwind | 2,60 |
@reiselustig | 2,71 |
@Shalottslady | 3,29 |
@nnniiina | 3,51 |
@tesc | 4,10 |
@GrauBunt | 4,48 |
@jettyb | 4,87 |
@thibcabe | 5,41 |
@Stevyy | 5,71 |
@Captain-Colin | 5,92 |
@HM | 6,48 |
@Bibiqueen | 10,08 |
@WiscoFamily | 10,11 |
@ShiNeko | 11,34 |
@Bookworm72 | 12,43 |
@Jarana | 13,46 |
@manuchka | 14,56 |
@ChocCrossie | 15,50 |
@Telopea | 17,42 |
@danay4 | 18,54 |
@IrinaPiccolina | 21,49 |
The prediction sheet for this countdown is available here. The name of the file is 71mioCountdown.pdf
My congrats to all participants!
I Postcrossing!
Not really Talented, just Lucky!
Today’s my husband’s birthday and the time I just chose randomly
Really enjoyed this, even with my limited Math skills!
For just one shot I am quite happy with the result - thank you for keeping us updated and all your efforts in trying to get us understand the predictions etc.
Until we have reached the Moment of Truth, everyone can refine their forecast as many times as they want. There is no limit.
I will choose the best (smallest) Error/Distance ratio for ranking at the end of the countdown.
By the way, if someone wants to, they can start a new 72 million Countdown And we will again go through this exciting path together.
Thanks very much for all your posts, enlightenment, graphs. I really enjoy them.
Thanks a lot everyone! I enjoyed being part of the excitement.Thank you for all your work greenskull!