August 7, 8.03 UTC. The card will be sent or received from/to Germany haha.
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Ready for the last quarter?
238377 to go 
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Three quarters done - we’re moving closer. I am a bit surprised that we don’t really see a northern summer slowdown - maybe users skip their vacations (b/c of all the mad and sad things going on) and use their funds for stamps and postcards.
Still, I will stick with my initial guess, just to show how irrationally stubborn I can be g
232,801 to go
15.08.2022
08:15 UTC
a card from FI to SE
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My next prediction is August 10, 2022, 12:00 (UTC).
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August 6, 2022 at 11:11 UTC
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Assuming that the Moment of Truth will come exactly as I predicted in my 2-nd try (August 10, 2022, 12:00 (UTC)), then the Diviner Talent Rate will be like this.
But I don’t know when that Moment will actually happen. This is just my guess.
| Name | Diviner Talent Rate |
|---|---|
| @greenskull | 52,74 |
| @Florallle | 37,98 |
| @ChocCrossie | 23,73 |
| @xxxxyyyyzzzz | 16,77 |
| @B00 | 15,10 |
| @nnniiina | 12,87 |
| @hippuliina | 6,49 |
| @Jarana | 6,47 |
| @Dinkysparkle | 6,09 |
| @Stevyy | 5,60 |
| @shanx | 3,83 |
| @jabuka | 3,44 |
| @Elisama_Omodei | 2,78 |
I think @Florallle has a good chance of getting a prize card from me in this countdown.
But let’s see, because everything can still change a lot.
@Stevyy, why don’t you adjust the date of your forecast? 
August 15th seems to me a little later than the supposed Moment of Truth.
In fact, anyone can always make a new clarifying prediction.
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Because German postcrossers made the system busy to catch the 12 million card last sunday, I still believe my foreseen day and time is a pretty good guess. 
I’ll keep it.
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My next (3rd) prediction is August 10, 2022, 23:35 (UTC).
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I’m holding out hope on my guess and keep obsessively checking.
Just me? What has become of me?
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98013 to go
And I think that means my guess 20. August is way to late
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My 2nd guess is August 13, 2022 @ 20:20 UTC
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There could be a sudden severe slowdown after the DE-12mio-frenzy-uptick, but more realistic is that first my prediction simply was wrong. Well, rather more activity than another additional crises’ impact.
89,178 to go
11.08.2022
11.08 UTC
a card from FI to SE
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My 4th guess: August 10, 2022, 19:00 (UTC).
59,600 postcards left to go and about ~4.4 days.
This is what my version of events looks like:
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My second guess is:
08/08/22 at 23:23 (UTC)
still obsessively checking ha!
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Unrealistic? No, I keep my first date, 7th august, maybe slightly correcting the time … to one minute before midnight 
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We are going to the Moment of Truth as if on rails.
I leave my forecast about the date August 10, 19:00 (UTC) unchanged.
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Es soi ins nix Schlimmas passian - a possible answer in my local dialect to the news that things turned out better than expected. It needs an ironic tone, literally it means ‘may no worse things happen to us’. It’s hard to translate out of situation.
Congrats to the semi-optimistic guessers - 10th of August sounds very very realistic. Maybe the other real stuff will turn better soon too.
26,393 to go
11.08.2022
02:02 UTC
FI to SE
edit: after a discussion with my brother, I have to change my saying. It should be correct now
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Just over 9,000 to go. That should happen today, shouldn’t it? Later in the day, rather than early, obviously.
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In times like this, you’ll never know. Maybe the saviours from outer space arrive today, (because somehow we humans alone are too human to save ourselves), and all registrations stop for a few hours.
Such plausible scenarios aside, it will happen today. Hurray
8,945 to go
10.08.2022
08:10 pm UTC
FI to SE
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7146 to go
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